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Policy Analysis
November 2026

Just the Numbers: The Impact of Swedish International Assistance for Modern Contraception, 2024

White circle with orange “kr” beside a blue hexagon-patterned globe on a violet background.

Authors

Anna Mia Ekström, Karolinska Institutet Anna Kågesten, Karolinska Institutet Elin Larsson, Karolinska Institutet Olivia Murphy, Karolinska Institutet Jessica D. Rosenberg, Guttmacher Institute Chelsea Polis, Guttmacher Institute

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Executive Summary

Access to comprehensive sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR)—including modern contraception—saves lives, advances gender equality and supports education, economic participation and sustainable development. Sweden has long been a leading donor in this area, contributing to programs that strengthen health systems and support the health and rights of women, adolescents, LGBTQI+ people and underserved populations worldwide.

Sweden’s international assistance for modern contraception in 2024 is conservatively estimated at approximately 458 million SEK. This investment enabled an estimated 3.6 million women and couples in low- and middle-income countries to access modern contraceptive services. It also helped avert approximately:

  • 1.3 million unintended pregnancies, including 
    • 507,000 unplanned births
    • 388,000 unsafe abortions
  • 1,521 maternal deaths

These results represent only one part of Sweden’s broader SRHR contribution. Swedish assistance also supports maternal and newborn health, safe abortion care where legal, HIV and sexually transmitted infection services, comprehensive sexuality education, prevention of and response to gender-based violence, and stronger rights-based health systems.

At a time of declining development assistance, mounting humanitarian and climate-related crises, and growing opposition to SRHR, reductions in Swedish funding would have immediate consequences. A 40 million SEK annual decrease would mean approximately 316,000 fewer women and couples receiving modern contraceptive services. This could result each year in an estimated 111,000 additional unintended pregnancies, 44,000 additional unplanned births, 34,000 additional unsafe abortions and 133 additional maternal deaths. Maintaining Sweden’s investment and international leadership is therefore essential to protecting health and human rights, advancing gender equality and sustaining progress toward the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.1

Methods: Using an established methodology developed by the Guttmacher Institute as part of its Just the Numbers series, we estimated the amount of Sweden’s international development assistance for family planning and its impacts on reproductive health outcomes. Sweden’s 2024 funding for modern contraception was estimated using Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Development Assistance Committee disbursement data and the revised Muskoka methodology. US dollar values were converted to Swedish krona using Sveriges Riksbank’s 2024 annual average exchange rate.2 Health impacts were modeled by the Guttmacher Institute using 2024 costs per contraceptive user and outcome ratios from the Adding It Up 2024 study3 and the Family Planning Investment Impact Calculator methodology.4 Because integrated programs and flexible funding cannot be fully identified in OECD reporting, the funding and impact estimates are conservative.

Sweden’s Support for SRHR

Access to comprehensive sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR), including modern contraceptive services, is essential for improving health outcomes and advancing gender equality. Investments in SRHR contribute to healthier lives while supporting education, economic participation and sustainable development across the life course.5

Sweden has a strong record of investments in SRHR. Through its international development cooperation, it has advanced the health and rights of women; adolescents; lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer and intersex (LGBTQI+) individuals and other marginalized groups, while strengthening health systems and promoting gender equality. In 2024, Sweden allocated 5.29% of its official development assistance to SRHR.6 In July 2026, Sweden’s government announced an additional 60 million SEK for the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)’s Midwifery Accelerator initiative.7 This support is vital amid declining development investment, mounting humanitarian and climate-related crises, and growing opposition to SRHR in some countries. Swedish development cooperation shows that support for SRHR and gender equality is closely linked to socially constructed norms.8 Therefore, sustained funding and advocacy are essential to deliver services, protect rights and enable lasting social change.

Comprehensive SRHR includes a broad package of essential services,5 as shown in the graphic below. This analysis focuses specifically on one component, modern contraceptive services. Sweden’s international assistance for modern contraception in 2024 was estimated at approximately 458 million SEK. In addition, funding is frequently integrated into broader programs and flexible funding modalities that cannot be fully captured using OECD Development Assistance Committee reporting and the revised Muskoka methodology (see Methodology and Sources section).

Access to modern contraception is one component in an essential package of sexual and reproductive health and rights interventions recommended by the Guttmacher-Lancet Commission

Impact of Swedish Investment in Modern Contraception

In 2024, Sweden's funding for modern contraception is estimated to have provided 3.6 million women and couples with such services, resulting in approximately 1.3 million unintended pregnancies averted and, consequently, 507,000 unplanned births, 388,000 unsafe abortions and 1,521 maternal deaths averted in low- and middle-income countries.

The graphic below shows the benefits of current Swedish investments and what is at risk if this funding is cut. Even relatively small decreases in international assistance for modern contraception would lead to fewer women and couples receiving contraceptive services and increases in unintended pregnancies, unsafe abortions, unplanned births and maternal deaths. For example, a 40 million SEK decrease in funding would result in approximately 316,000 fewer women and couples receiving modern contraceptive services per year, leading to an estimated 111,000 additional unintended pregnancies, 44,000 additional unplanned births, 34,000 additional unsafe abortions and 133 additional maternal deaths.

Estimated impact of Swedish international assistance for modern contraception in 2024 and projected consequences of potential reductions in funding

Maintaining Swedish Leadership in SRHR Funding

Sweden’s investments in SRHR and particularly modern contraceptive services have had significant, measurable impacts. They have saved lives, improved health and helped ensure that women and girls can decide if, and when, they want to have children. These investments also can contribute to broader development gains, including girls’ education, women’s economic participation, gender equality and stronger health systems.5,9

Importantly, the estimates in this analysis capture only one part of Sweden’s broader SRHR contribution. The full impact is substantially larger, as Swedish investments also contribute to maternal and newborn health, safe abortion care where legal, HIV and STI services, gender-based violence prevention and response, comprehensive sexuality education and wider efforts to strengthen rights-based health systems.5,10

Sweden has consistently been among the leading international donors supporting SRHR. At a time when global financing for SRHR is under increasing pressure, maintaining Sweden’s influence and investment in modern contraception and comprehensive SRHR will be critical for protecting women’s health, advancing gender equality and human rights, and sustaining progress toward the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development1 and beyond.

Methodology and Sources

Modern contraceptive funding data

For this analysis, the Guttmacher Institute estimated Sweden’s international assistance for modern contraceptive funding for calendar year 2024. Modern contraceptive disbursements data at the country level were derived from 2024 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)’s Development Assistance Committee (DAC) data using the revised Muskoka methodology. The Muskoka2 methodology estimates the proportion of bilateral and multilateral contributions that support reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health using official development assistance data reported to the OECD DAC.11,12 

At the 2012 London Summit on Family Planning, donor governments agreed to a revised Muskoka methodology for estimating aid to family planning specifically.13 For bilateral funding, shares were applied to relevant DAC purpose codes; for multilateral core contributions, fixed shares were applied to total disbursements: 20% for UNFPA, 5% for the World Health Organization, 1% for International Development Association contributions to the World Bank and 5% for the Global Fund.6(p.110–111) Disbursements were organized by recipient country or location where possible, including funding to regions and unspecified recipients.

This methodological approach represents a relatively conservative estimate of Swedish bilateral and multilateral funding for modern contraception in 2024 (over US$43 million, or approximately 458 million SEK) compared with some other available sources, with one reporting an amount close to three times higher than this analysis for Sweden’s bilateral funding and a family planning–adjusted share of core contributions to UNFPA.14 For sources listing US dollars, a 2024 exchange rate of 10.56 SEK per US dollar was applied per Sveriges Riksbank’s 2024 annual average estimate.2

Modeled estimates for health outcomes

The impacts of current and any potential decreased investments in this analysis are based on costs and impacts from Adding It Up 20243 and the Family Planning Investment Impact Calculator methodology.4 The number of women and couples who would receive contraceptive care at a given funding level was estimated by dividing the annual investment by the average annual cost of contraceptive care per user. This average cost reflects the distribution of contraceptive methods in use and the cost of annual use of each method in the recipient country as of 2024. It encompasses both direct family planning service delivery costs and associated program and system costs necessary to support the broader health system in providing this care.

Ratios of health outcomes per contraceptive user served, drawn from Adding It Up 2024, were applied to estimate the number of unintended pregnancies, unsafe abortions, unplanned births and maternal deaths averted at each funding level. Outcomes are based on costs in the current service provision environment and do not account for the additional indirect costs that would be required to scale up services to reach many additional users, such as new infrastructure development or workforce expansion.

Suggested Citation

Ekström AM et al., Just the Numbers Sweden: The Impact of Swedish International Assistance for Modern Contraception, Guttmacher Institute and Karolinska Institutet, 2026, https://www.guttmacher.org/2026/10/just-numbers-impact-swedish-international-assistance-modern-contraception-2024.

References

1. Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, The 17 Goals, https://sdgs.un.org/goals.

2. Sveriges Riksbank, Search annual and monthly average exchange rates, results for 2024, https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/statistics/interest-rates-and-exchange-rates/search-annual-and-monthly-average-exchange-rates/?a=Y&y=2024&m=Select+month&s=g130-SEKUSDPMI&fs=3#result-section.

3. Sully EA et al., Adding It Up 2024: Investing in Sexual and Reproductive Health in Low- and Middle-Income Countries, New York: Guttmacher Institute, 2025,
https://www.guttmacher.org/report/adding-it-up-2024-investing-sexual-and-reproductive-health-low-and-middle-income-countries.

4. Guttmacher Institute, Family Planning Investment Impact Calculator Methodology, https://www.guttmacher.org/fp-impact-calculator-methodology.

5. Starrs AM et al., Accelerate progress—sexual and reproductive health and rights for all: report of the Guttmacher–Lancet Commission, Lancet, 2018, 391(10140):2642–2692, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30293-9.

6. Deutsche Stiftung Weltbevölkerung (DSW), Donors Delivering for SRHR Report 2026: Tracking OECD DAC Donor Funding for Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights, Brussels, Belgium: DSW, 2026, https://donorsdelivering.report/.

7. Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs, Government invests SEK 250 million in global health, July 7, 2026, https://www.government.se/press-releases/2026/07/government-invests-sek-250-million-in-global-health/.

8. Kågesten A et al., Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights: Measuring Values and Norms to Guide Swedish Development Cooperation, Stockholm: Expert Group for Aid Studies, 2021, https://eba.se/en/reports/new-report-sexual-and-reproductive-health-and-rights-measuring-values-and-norms-to-guide-swedish-development-cooperation/17674/.

9. Finlay JE et al., Contraception to women’s economic empowerment: a narrative review, World Development, 2025, 196(107167), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107167.

10. United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights: An Essential Element of Universal Health Coverage, New York: UNFPA, 2019, https://www.unfpa.org/publications/sexual-and-reproductive-health-and-rights-essential-element-universal-health-coverage.

11. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Development Co-operation Directorate, Development Assistance Committee (DAC), Policy Brief: Recommendations to the OECD DAC to Improve the Tracking of SRMNCAH ODA, 2018, https://one.oecd.org/document/DCD/DAC/STAT/RD(2018)3/RD2/en/pdf.

12. Dingle A et al., Estimates of aid for reproductive, maternal, newborn, and child health: findings from application of the Muskoka2 method, 2002–17, Lancet Global Health, 2020, 8(3):e374–e386, https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30005-X.

13. DSW, Donors Delivering for SRHR Report 2025: Tracking OECD DAC Donor Funding for Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights, Brussels, Belgium: DSW, 2025, https://donorsdelivering.report/all-editions/.

14. Wexler A, Kates J and Lief E, Donor Government Funding for Family Planning in 2024, KFF, 2025, https://www.kff.org/global-health-policy/donor-government-funding-for-family-planning-in-2024/.

Acknowledgments

This analysis was written by Anna Mia Ekström, Anna Kågesten, Elin Larsson and Olivia Murphy, all of the Karolinska Institutet; Jessica D. Rosenberg and Chelsea B. Polis, of the Guttmacher Institute. It was edited by Chris Olah.

The authors thank Meltem Odabaş, formerly of the Guttmacher Institute, for research assistance, Adam Wexler at KFF for advising on one methodology for estimating family planning funding and Elizabeth Sully of the Guttmacher Institute for input on assessment of differing family planning funding methodologies. The authors also thank Jesper Sundewall at the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency for input on early stages of this analysis.

This analysis was supported with funding from the Gates Foundation. The findings and conclusions contained within are those of the Guttmacher Institute, Karolinska Institutet and ONE Campaign and do not necessarily reflect positions or policies of the donor.

Karolinska Institutet logo and ONE Campaign logo

First published online: November 13, 2026

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English , Swedish

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